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Scenario Planning and Strategic Foresight
In uncertain and rapidly shifting environments, leaders need the ability to think beyond the immediate horizon.
This five day program builds your capability to explore alternative futures, anticipate strategic risks and convert scenario insights into clear, practical actions for your organisation.
What to expect
Scenario planning is a powerful approach for exploring volatility, uncertainty and complexity. It helps leaders consider a range of plausible futures and understand how external forces may shape risks, opportunities and strategic choices. Combined with an organisation’s purpose and strategic intent, scenarios support richer conversations about direction, resilience and resource allocation.
This program draws on the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach and blends teaching, research, practical tools and hands on exercises. Through horizon scanning, storytelling, analysis and structured collaboration, participants learn to imagine alternative futures and assess the strategic implications.
Across the five days, you will work in groups on a real organisational problem. Using scenario planning tools, you will identify key concerns, develop multiple scenario narratives and explore the consequences for strategic change. The process helps you uncover new insights, challenge assumptions and highlight potential risks that traditional planning methods may overlook.
The learning experience is active, iterative and highly participatory. Through lectures, videos, readings, group exercises and presentations, you will apply the methodology in a way that is practical, engaging and relevant to your organisational context.
Is this program for you
This program is ideal for professionals in public or private sector organisations who are involved in management, strategy, or policy.
What you will explore
By the end of the program, you should be able to:
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Identify sources of competitive advantage that may be affected by contextual change
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Use horizon scanning to assess shifts in the external environment
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Understand lessons from historical patterns of non-linear change
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Write scenario stories that engage, inform and inspire
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Collaborate with diverse stakeholders using strategic conversation and strategic ambiguity
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Turn scenarios into bold and practical strategic recommendations
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Embed scenario planning processes into organisational practice
Where this program can take you
About the Facilitators
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